0xc7e88a70383fb758a9e59bfdd3973ae1cae9b560
0xc7e88a70383fb758a9e59bfdd3973ae1cae9b560
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$317.26
Total PnL
$-17.9K
Realised
$-605.88
Win rate
0%
167 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- WELLINGTON TURMAN
UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$38.46
$28.46
- NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
115 shares @ 43.6¢·now 25.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.42
$-20.58
- YES
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?
344 shares @ 14.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.61
$-24.39
- YES
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
261 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.53
$2.53
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
74 shares @ 13.4¢·now 14.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.97
$0.97
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.81
$-0.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?$41.67Aug 9, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-08?$18.35Aug 8, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?$101.20Aug 1, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?$34.33Aug 1, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?$116.90Aug 1, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$126.26Aug 1, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?$10.75Jul 30, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?$10.77Jul 30, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$10.53Jul 30, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?$38.46Jul 30, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?$99.54Jul 30, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$10.13Jul 29, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$2.16Jul 29, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.08Jul 29, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.08Jul 29, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$10.72Jul 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$10.72Jul 29, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$10.76Jul 29, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.53Jul 29, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.47Jul 29, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 167 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
167 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 167 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.