Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.4pp
24h Vol
$40.00
Liquidity
$24.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5989.6h
- 10:24SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5990h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 3¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 3¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 3¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (4.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).