General-Interchange
0xc880abf881f2c21d87b96ee9a9c73a26813c8380
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
904 shares @ 22.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$673.82
$473.83
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1813 shares @ 25.3¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$350.79
$-107.21
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1825 shares @ 8.3¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$230.90
$79.40
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
403 shares @ 49.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$175.24
$-24.76
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
17885 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$134.13
$-95.86
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3588 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$80.73
$27.03
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.26
$-19.74
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.84
$-45.16
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
614 shares @ 16.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.17
$-47.83
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1352 shares @ 7.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.87
$-52.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $37.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.