Competent-Fantasy
0xc8a5fb6e9e78cc63ec344d85fed665f8eac382bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$22.96
Realised
$-0.92
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
582 shares @ 92.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$540.92
$4.62
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
307 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$305.08
$5.07
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
192 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$190.78
$5.60
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
174 shares @ 91.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.06
$3.06
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
152 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.50
$1.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
141 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$140.49
$0.49
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
112 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$108.32
$1.12
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
102 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.38
$1.38
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
102 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.66
$0.66
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
101 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$100.55
$0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$67.33Jun 14, 07:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$40.08Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$100.57Jun 13, 06:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$106.14Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$7.40Jun 12, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$99.99Jun 12, 04:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$57.90Jun 10, 13:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$185.00Jun 9, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$100.68Jun 9, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$146.84Jun 9, 06:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$28.95Jun 7, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$140.06Jun 7, 18:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $96.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.