Gracious-Locust
0xc8b8880b91effc64f4ce9d5869b9767a55a6c770
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$271.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-436.08
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.02
$-24.77
- YES
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
507 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.26
$-7.60
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4700 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.65
$-45.64
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
120 shares @ 12.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.20
$-4.90
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
80 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.80
$0.00
- YES
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.40
$3.40
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 11.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-3.68
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.45
$3.45
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$-0.10
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.90
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$8.00Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$5.38Jun 13, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$1.34Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$0.63Jun 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$2.30Jun 13, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$2.30Jun 13, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$0.63Jun 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$0.63Jun 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$1.38Jun 13, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$4.60Jun 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.20Jun 12, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.40Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.70Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$3.78Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Jun 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$3.60Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$4.05Jun 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.15Jun 12, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.