Kosher-Curry
0xc8e3b71b2d059cd1a54b1631d302980a41766fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$8.4K
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$213.10
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
2321 shares @ 69.2¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$343.71
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1888 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$158.50
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
1335 shares @ 82.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$166.87
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1295 shares @ 49.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$731.30
$85.80
- ANTHROPIC
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
600 shares @ 64.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$501.00
$117.00
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
500 shares @ 87.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$464.75
$28.75
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
400 shares @ 40.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$300.00
$140.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$284.99
$24.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
282 shares @ 47.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.57
$122.84
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
381 shares @ 64.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$237.86
$-5.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.