Sociable-Gavel
0xc9162f4a6b45a82c06e1871229c36082330561a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.88
Total PnL
$-11.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Chirayu Rana fired?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- DOWN
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gustavo Jalkh win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
268 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 12?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 12?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
2 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$1.02May 1, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?$1.01May 1, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana fired?$1.02May 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.31May 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$1.66May 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00Apr 22, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$1.00Apr 22, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.02Apr 22, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs$1.18Apr 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs$1.00Apr 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.13Apr 11, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.31Apr 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kihei Akina finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Puerto Rico Open?$1.00Mar 2, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.08Mar 2, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".