Live-Queen
0xc9345d97ea672e1d137f9425222c12ba02859887
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$76.36
Total PnL
$-47.41
Realised
$-8.04
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 89.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.36
$0.36
- NO
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
21 shares @ 79.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$16.50
$-0.22
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
28 shares @ 28.7¢·now 22.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.40
$-1.60
- NO
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?
6 shares @ 94.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.27
$0.27
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.63
$0.63
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
6 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.19
$0.03
- NO
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
4 shares @ 89.7¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 42.4¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.00Jul 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 23, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYYevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31?$1.00Jul 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 23, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$0.98Jul 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$2.00Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?$2.14Jul 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2.94Jul 21, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1.03Jul 21, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 22:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.