Sleepy-Disconnection
0xc96a71d464f16a5f7f948cb9d0d34a2f2409702c
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$154.95
Realised
$-15.59
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- NO
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
2329 shares @ 84.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$334.16
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
192 shares @ 73.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$158.26
$17.99
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$107.58
$7.58
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
105 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.85
$3.25
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
103 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.77
$0.77
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
78 shares @ 86.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$73.00
$6.00
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
63 shares @ 79.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.74
$11.74
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
56 shares @ 89.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.05
$3.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$51.36
$1.36
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.73
$-0.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$5.48Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$4.04Jun 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$72.96Jun 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$7.50Jun 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$4.43Jun 12, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in any European country by December 31?$21.25Jun 12, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$18.60Jun 12, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$12.59Jun 12, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$10.36Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?$20.12Jun 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$10.00Jun 11, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jun 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Jun 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Jun 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$30.00Jun 11, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$10.11Jun 11, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$5.00Jun 11, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?$10.05Jun 11, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?$1.01Jun 11, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.