Careful-Hamburger
0xc98e5a80eefada49e960e65a5486f8cb65eaf0e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
80
Open notional
$427.21
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
136 shares @ 66.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$133.49
$43.49
- YES
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
94 shares @ 74.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$93.34
$23.34
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
78 shares @ 77.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.91
$-19.09
- YES
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
33 shares @ 60.8¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.63
$7.63
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.90
$5.90
- NO
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
46 shares @ 64.8¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.97
$-11.03
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$12.21
$2.21
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.07
$2.07
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$10.71
$-9.29
- NO
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.2¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$10.20
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$3.06Jun 2, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$3.14Jun 2, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$3.06Jun 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$3.46Jun 2, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$3.03Jun 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.17Jun 2, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$7.44Jun 2, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.12Jun 2, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$25.89Jun 2, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$30.44Jun 2, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$25.42Jun 2, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$25.80Jun 2, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$31.91Jun 2, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$25.52Jun 2, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$30.49Jun 2, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$25.44Jun 2, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$25.47Jun 2, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jun 2, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$25.73Jun 2, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$28.51Jun 2, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $27.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.