Plush-Styling
0xca24884dec5d853d44115427b798fc476597fc13
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.96
Total PnL
$0.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 3.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.43
$1.43
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 19.3¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.01May 15, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.96May 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.14May 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31$1.21May 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by May 31$1.03May 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$1.00May 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.03May 8, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?$0.00May 8, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$0.10May 8, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.02May 8, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?$0.00May 8, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 7, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$1.00May 7, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$0.90May 7, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$1.03May 7, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?$0.90May 7, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?$1.04May 7, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$1.27May 7, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?$1.05May 6, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 22:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 03:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".