Pricey-Enigma
0xca3e18433673840a94b0376604068cf2e65cc9ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$262.99
Total PnL
$-279.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
77 shares @ 32.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.55
$43.55
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
40 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.08
$3.08
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
66 shares @ 45.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.23
$6.23
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
28 shares @ 35.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.16
$13.16
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.04
$3.04
- YES
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.27
$5.27
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 88.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.10
$19.10
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
47 shares @ 64.3¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.63
$-14.37
- NO
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
19 shares @ 26.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.55
$6.55
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
43 shares @ 23.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.76
$-7.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$15.21Jun 9, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$15.22Jun 9, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?$15.16Jun 9, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$14.29Jun 9, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$10.12May 28, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$15.27May 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$35.18May 28, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$30.99May 28, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?$14.71May 20, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?$10.13May 19, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$20.17May 19, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$2.08May 19, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$4.14May 19, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.31May 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$2.07May 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?$1.04May 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 18, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$66.67May 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$20.61May 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$37.82May 18, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $22.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.