Major-Winner
0xcadcaaaf911af9cb62841e5afffdee51d98a54ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$356.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
3756 shares @ 57.7¢·now 77.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.9K
$723.04
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
991 shares @ 25.2¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.44
$22.44
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
903 shares @ 42.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$121.94
$-261.58
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
247 shares @ 60.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$102.66
$-47.34
- YES
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?
3200 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$92.79
$-7.21
- GLOBAL ESPORTS
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage
166 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-72.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$152.36Jun 8, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$257.48Jun 8, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJun 7, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$74.10Jun 7, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?$102.91Jun 7, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$392.35Jun 6, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJun 6, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $454.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.