Distorted-Carriage
0xcb00f64d5f7d8645ed358a95febfdf93dd00045d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$13.60
Total PnL
$-42.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
54 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.99
$-1.01
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- NO
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$19.23Jun 2, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 13, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.00May 13, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$0.00May 13, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?$0.00May 13, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$0.00May 13, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$0.00May 13, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 13, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$0.00May 13, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 13, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 13, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?$1.00Apr 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$1.00Apr 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$1.00Apr 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$1.00Apr 24, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 24, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$5.00Apr 24, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?$1.00Apr 24, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.