Celebrated-Caffeine
0xcb6ffcd138ea263162d731c3daedf9e194d4f414
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$156.31
Total PnL
$-17.38
Realised
$-8.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?
217 shares @ 6.1¢·now 21.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$46.41
$33.12
- YES
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?
81 shares @ 14.7¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$23.51
$11.62
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
104 shares @ 9.4¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$9.33
$-0.46
- YES
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
20 shares @ 30.6¢·now 33.6¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$6.72
$0.61
- INDIANA FEVER
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.00
$1.05
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 13?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.00
$1.55
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
13 shares @ 65.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.80
$-3.75
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
24 shares @ 39.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$3.96
$-5.52
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 14?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 14?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.47
$2.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$7.72Jun 14, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET$2.69Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET$0.36Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 15?$0.28Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands$2.71Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)$5.00Jun 13, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)$5.00Jun 13, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$5.00Jun 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 15?$0.62Jun 13, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury$2.69Jun 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.15Jun 13, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 15?$1.35Jun 13, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$2.78Jun 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds$2.25Jun 13, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs$5.00Jun 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$1.72Jun 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 14?$1.10Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 15?$0.46Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 14?$1.50Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 15?$1.10Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.