Exhausted-Soybean
0xcb9c70b0cde5e537413b8db39424740d8f4daf00
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$14.67
Total PnL
$-36.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.67
$-1.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 75.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 76.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 4, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 4, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 4, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 4, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 4, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.02May 4, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.02May 4, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMSentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?$1.09May 4, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.10May 4, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.11May 4, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 25, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 14, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.05Apr 14, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$1.11Apr 14, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 26, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 26, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMPrairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators$1.01Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 10:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".