0xcbd5e675917dd10c5949cc526a6202d40cc8bf4a
0xcbd5e675917dd10c5949cc526a6202d40cc8bf4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$15.35
Total PnL
$-0.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 shares @ 20.7¢·now 46.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
2 shares @ 81.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 58.7¢·now 39.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 17, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 17, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$0.00Mar 17, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 17, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pacers$0.00Mar 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$3.82Mar 17, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$1.48Mar 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$4.05Mar 17, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$18.42Mar 17, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$29.87Mar 17, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$53.82Mar 17, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 15, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$4.71Mar 15, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 15, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$4.68Mar 15, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 15, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$4.00Mar 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$23.00Mar 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.00Mar 13, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.00Mar 13, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.