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PoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Probability

36¢

1h

-0.3pp

24h

+0.4pp

24h Vol

$7.55

Liquidity

$21.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-7.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:12
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 6.4¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5986.8h

    LOW
  • 13:12Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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