0xcc10e7ed54b07e1ef9144a9604236b85a83933cc
0xcc10e7ed54b07e1ef9144a9604236b85a83933cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$106.67
Total PnL
$-196.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$35.16
$-14.84
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
273 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.36
$-13.64
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.75
$-17.25
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.62
$-0.38
- YES
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$5.90
$-4.10
- YES
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
508 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
150 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$-3.90
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
149 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.95
$-3.05
- YES
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-6.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.20Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$6.18Jun 30, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$6.18Jun 30, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.15Jun 30, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$50.00Jun 30, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$75.00Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$4.00May 29, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?$9.00May 29, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?$10.00May 29, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US annex any territory in 2026?$10.35May 29, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$37.84May 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$14.00Apr 12, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$13.70Apr 8, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 13, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$3.16Mar 8, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 6, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$40.00Mar 3, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$30.00Mar 3, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$74.73Mar 3, 02:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $24.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.