Spectacular-Antler
0xcc185fc46aee2b732e2d5b2a3c31f2062948d048
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1852 shares @ 54.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$675.93
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
1109 shares @ 90.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$73.11
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.13
$18.13
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
407 shares @ 24.6¢·now 27.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$109.96
$9.96
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.80
$3.80
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.03
$3.03
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.82
$1.82
- NO
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
11 shares @ 87.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.76
$0.76
- NO
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.66
$-0.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.