Shady-Fannypack
0xcc2620f9e3cb4498e8aea556764ec341357932ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.5K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
33%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
53018 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
31631 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-248.34
- NO
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
21018 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-382.85
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
20000 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
20000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-158.66
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
15400 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-333.35
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
15289 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-342.91
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
14985 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-743.50
- NO
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
11068 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-380.11
- YES
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
11000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-41.80
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$20.10Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- REWARD$1.23Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$33.33Jun 25, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.41Jun 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$4.10Jun 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$115.16Jun 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$17.00Jun 25, 13:34 UTC
- REWARD$4.15Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$174.75Jun 24, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.98Jun 24, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$95.95Jun 24, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.1KJun 24, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$980.21Jun 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$44.00Jun 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00Jun 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$6.7KJun 24, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.46Jun 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.21Jun 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$12.24Jun 24, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$21.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
43%
Window
May 24, 03:30 UTC → Jun 7, 21:28 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$9.5K@94¢Jun 7, 21:28 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
30 closed markets, 33% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
43%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
$9.5K · 43% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $452.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.