0xcc2982e3fbbcaf9af9fa373fa3ae392fd9457774
0xcc2982e3fbbcaf9af9fa373fa3ae392fd9457774
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$220.8K
Total PnL
$12.5K
Realised
$-243.88
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
85024 shares @ 90.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.8K
$586.58
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
131561 shares @ 39.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.5K
$5.2K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
131550 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.5K
$2.6K
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
16873 shares @ 68.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$12.4K
$819.51
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
13407 shares @ 84.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.4K
$1.0K
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
7000 shares @ 92.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$129.47
- NO
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5106 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.7K
$638.73
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5003 shares @ 34.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.2K
$2.5K
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
5259 shares @ 41.1¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.3K
$97.95
- NO
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
1846 shares @ 78.6¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$247.69
Recent activity
- YIELD$17.04Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.37Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$4.24Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$17.12Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$9.54Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$9.07Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$1.6KJul 27, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$0.00Jul 27, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$0.00Jul 27, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$0.00Jul 27, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$0.00Jul 27, 14:20 UTC
- YIELD$17.11Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?$173.82Jul 27, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.4KJul 27, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$3.6KJul 27, 00:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$20.03Jul 26, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$17.07Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$7.84Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.22Jul 25, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$27.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
38%
Window
May 18, 02:20 UTC → Jun 29, 02:04 UTC
- BUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.5K@4¢Jun 25, 04:01 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
38%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$10.5K · 38% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $428.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.