Clean-Tile
0xcc36dfa5cf09cccc4bf668609c30df3117cb9e9f
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$72.71
Total PnL
$-11.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.95
$3.95
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.18
$2.18
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
18 shares @ 33.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.19
$0.19
- NO
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
7 shares @ 59.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$1.09
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.93
$0.93
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 31.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.13
$-0.52
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
11 shares @ 53.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.58
$-2.25
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?$2.066h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.0310h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of April 27 2026?$1.0213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.0614h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.0614h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.1017h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$5.001d ago
- REDEEMWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$4.122d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.042d ago
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.043d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.043d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.043d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.043d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$5.123d ago
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by April 30?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?$2.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.004d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 30d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".