Tense-Website
0xcd05ed73a022f06ebd9309d66016e455a69f61d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.49
Total PnL
$-67.60
Realised
$-1.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?
220 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.49
$-2.11
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
300 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
113 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
28 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.44
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
25 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.57
- YES
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- FREDERICO FERREIRA SILVA
Oeiras 3: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Max Houkes
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?
19 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.54
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?
9 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?$5.73Jul 4, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?$1.47Jul 4, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 27, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$6.78Jun 24, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$6.40May 31, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$17.40May 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?$0.43May 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?$0.23May 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?$0.23May 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?$4.66May 15, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?$2.37May 14, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$2.15May 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$8.19May 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?$2.00May 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$6.00May 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$1.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?$18.39May 11, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?$1.00May 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodez AF achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?$7.05May 11, 11:34 UTC
- REWARD$5.59May 11, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 18:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.