Tense-Website
0xcd05ed73a022f06ebd9309d66016e455a69f61d6
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$60.14
Total PnL
$-78.20
Realised
$-3.10
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$12.90
$-5.90
- YES
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.10
$-0.70
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.70
$1.70
- NO
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
17 shares @ 39.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.95
$-1.83
- YES
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 32.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.90
$-2.50
- YES
Will KT Rolster qualify for EWC 2026?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
18 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-0.27
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?
16 shares @ 29.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.69
$-2.97
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.66
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$0.053h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?$2.008h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.5213h ago
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?$12.8013h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?$11.0613h ago
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 7?$20.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$2.2014h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?$0.2814h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?$2.8014h ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?$1.1415h ago
- TRADESELLGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$0.7615h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$0.6016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$0.6016h ago
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$1.3417h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$1.3417h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?$5.8018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?$2.8019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 7?$0.8520h ago
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?$0.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?$0.6420h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
