Ill-Spread
0xcd081cfffac0d7ab81ee7814adc1d908642e9f1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$29.84
Total PnL
$-6.36
Realised
$-1.84
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$10.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kazuma Okamoto win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
14 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.63
$-1.72
- YES
Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
12 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$0.06
$-1.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$0.00Apr 10, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$3.66Apr 10, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. New York Yankees$0.00Apr 9, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins$0.00Apr 9, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies$0.00Apr 9, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals$3.65Apr 9, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. New York Yankees$4.63Apr 8, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins$4.00Apr 8, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies$3.00Apr 8, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. New York Yankees$1.00Apr 8, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals$2.00Apr 8, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies$0.00Apr 8, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals$3.94Apr 8, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins$4.37Apr 8, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies$0.00Apr 8, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins$2.00Apr 7, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals$2.00Apr 7, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies$2.00Apr 7, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.19Apr 7, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins$2.14Apr 7, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".