Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4817.5h
- 06:31SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4817h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 9¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 9¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.9pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.2pp
to 7¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).