Sympathetic-Pole
0xcd1fccd4b19ff6ded97935e490f2929821161549
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$280.82
Total PnL
$-72.04
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
537 shares @ 43.6¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$169.33
$-64.67
- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
132 shares @ 78.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$105.42
$1.65
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$6.07
$-8.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$4.81May 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$9.08May 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$90.77May 2, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.10May 2, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.77May 2, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.09May 2, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.45May 2, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$204.51May 2, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.06May 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.23May 2, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $36.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".