Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Probability
32¢
1h
-0.3pp
24h
+3.9pp
24h Vol
$1.9K
Liquidity
$14.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-53.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 110.8h
- 09:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 111h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.0pp
to 32¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.7pp
to 33¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.7pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.0pp
to 33¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.7pp
to 33¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.9pp
to 33¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.4pp
to 33¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.2pp
to 31¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.0pp
to 37¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.9pp
to 37¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.4pp
to 37¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.0pp
to 35¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.2pp
to 33¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.4pp
to 31¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -53.7pp
to 26¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.8pp
to 38¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.1pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -53.4pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -60.6pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -49.9pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.1pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.6pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.3pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.2pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.4pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.4pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.4pp
to 62¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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