Hoarse-Seed
0xcd4ad0f3aa97e73dd52b0ba2794784a8f2646570
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$503.15
Total PnL
$3.24
Realised
$-13.58
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
288 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.16
$4.32
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
128 shares @ 90.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$114.95
$-1.06
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.49
$13.50
- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
51 shares @ 92.6¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 30, 2026$48.43
$1.14
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 84.6¢·now 80.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$43.54
$-2.06
- NO
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
40 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.79
$0.20
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
28 shares @ 70.6¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37 shares @ 13.6¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27 shares @ 18.4¢·now 18.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$20.24May 30, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$131.04May 29, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.17May 29, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.16May 29, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.17May 29, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$39.68May 29, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$258.00May 29, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?$12.43May 29, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?$4.45May 28, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?$0.99May 28, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?$11.23May 28, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?$6.49May 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$29.22May 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$50.78May 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$31.14May 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$17.25May 27, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.02May 27, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$11.23May 27, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.13May 27, 13:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $22.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".