Determined-Percentage
0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$493.3K
Total PnL
$105.0K
Realised
$6.7K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
169872 shares @ 54.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$152.0K
$59.5K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
80000 shares @ 71.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.8K
$13.7K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
64493 shares @ 91.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.1K
$5.3K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
56503 shares @ 75.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.4K
$7.0K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
25000 shares @ 64.5¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.7K
$-1.4K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
15000 shares @ 41.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.2K
$8.0K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
17429 shares @ 77.8¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.2K
$-396.73
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
15048 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.6K
$-150.48
- NO
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
12269 shares @ 82.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.0K
$1.9K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11386 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.3K
$421.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.8KJun 15, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$803.02Jun 15, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$840.86Jun 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$22.21Jun 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.4KJun 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.40Jun 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$129.26Jun 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.9KJun 15, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.26Jun 15, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$159.80Jun 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.51Jun 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$90.91Jun 15, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.1KJun 15, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$793.99Jun 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$15.88Jun 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.21Jun 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.04Jun 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.21Jun 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.8KJun 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.95Jun 15, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 20, 00:20 UTC → May 20, 00:16 UTC
- SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$7.7K@99¢May 20, 00:16 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$7.7K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
$7.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.