Prize-Monastery
0xcd7649ee1798f6fac7d2688bddab19eb7bc877bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-842.66
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
100%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
397 shares @ 84.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$339.22
$3.56
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
215 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$200.06
$-0.20
- NO
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
200 shares @ 80.9¢·now 89.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.40
$17.64
- NO
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
162 shares @ 91.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.98
$7.36
- NO
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
158 shares @ 47.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$149.92
$75.48
- NO
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
180 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$146.68
$-4.52
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
174 shares @ 64.6¢·now 82.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$142.68
$30.18
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
200 shares @ 69.3¢·now 62.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$124.30
$-14.20
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
195 shares @ 27.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$114.12
$59.76
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.25
$27.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$204.13Jul 20, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.00Jul 20, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha$10.00Jul 20, 12:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha$3.90Jul 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha$4.04Jul 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.01Jul 17, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$5.00Jul 17, 09:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$3.94Jul 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$198.91Jul 16, 18:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$133.60Jul 14, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.00Jul 14, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
75/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 56 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
56 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $78.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.