Near-Experimentation
0xcd8a4848266b3330540d1213eb896e394f142765
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$936.02
Total PnL
$-69.61
Realised
$0.89
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori end in a draw?
42 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$41.64
$2.06
- NO
Will Amy Phan West advance from the CA-45 primary election?
42 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$38.73
$-0.84
- YES
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
43 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$38.71
$-0.86
- YES
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
42 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$38.54
$-0.21
- YES
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?
43 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$38.47
$-0.22
- NO
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$38.16
$-0.20
- YES
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?
41 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$38.16
$-0.20
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
41 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$37.55
$0.13
- NO
Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?
41 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$36.73
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Nara Club vs. FC Ōsaka end in a draw?$35.768m ago
- TRADESELLWill Nara Club vs. FC Ōsaka end in a draw?$5.0010m ago
- TRADESELLWill Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-06?$40.7711m ago
- TRADESELLWill Tochigi City FC win on 2026-05-06?$40.7711m ago
- TRADESELLWill Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-06?$36.9312m ago
- TRADESELLWill Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-06?$39.3912m ago
- TRADESELLWill Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-06?$5.0012m ago
- TRADESELLWill Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-06?$5.0012m ago
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $28.7419m ago
- TRADESELLWill Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-06?$1.0337m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC end in a draw?$29.5556m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre end in a draw?$11.2657m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-06?$37.2457m ago
- TRADESELLWill AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-05-06?$79.9458m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-06?$39.6659m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tochigi City FC win on 2026-05-06?$38.4359m ago
- TRADEBUYWill RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?$38.0359m ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Ryūkyū win on 2026-05-06?$81.6459m ago
- TRADESELLWill Nara Club win on 2026-05-06?$39.9859m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nara Club vs. FC Ōsaka end in a draw?$39.221h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $35.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7h ago
- Last active
- 8m ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
