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BusinessExpires Apr 23, 2026

Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?

Probability

93¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$48.59

Liquidity

$2.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+16.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 93¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $2.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 15:43Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

As of market creation, Hasbro is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Hasbro’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.99 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hasbro reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.99 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Hasbro releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 23, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 23, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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