Fresh-Exception
0xcdaf8397c8261e23f5ff18cde78441e39258eff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$365.04
Realised
$112.77
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
850 shares @ 69.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$835.98
$249.47
- YES
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
500 shares @ 73.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$476.25
$106.93
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
750 shares @ 62.2¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$464.99
$-1.73
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
500 shares @ 72.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$447.50
$87.50
- YES
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
750 shares @ 26.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$341.25
$139.86
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
616 shares @ 46.2¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$307.78
$23.43
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
500 shares @ 60.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$277.50
$-25.91
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
500 shares @ 51.3¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$229.99
$-26.64
- YES
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$75.00
$-174.78
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 44.1¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.95
$-18.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$296.20Jun 10, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$11.58Jun 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$58.05Jun 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$212.15Jun 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$176.91Jun 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$8.20Jun 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$22.79Jun 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$211.84Jun 9, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$72.62Jun 9, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$68.75Jun 9, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$593.77Jun 8, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$261.94Jun 8, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$66.44Jun 8, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$146.33Jun 8, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$102.00Jun 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$45.23Jun 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.63Jun 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$0.27Jun 3, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$496.36Jun 1, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$364.02May 31, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $141.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.