0xce5fba6392bde62b6ce174d6ab4fccc7409f9077
0xce5fba6392bde62b6ce174d6ab4fccc7409f9077
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$43.72
Total PnL
$-20.81
Realised
$-8.05
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?
7 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$7.40
$0.36
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
5 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.40
$0.36
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.03
$0.04
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.02
$0.09
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.18
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$0.03
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.12
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
9 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.00Jun 11, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.00Jun 11, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.00Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00Jun 3, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.00Jun 3, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$0.00Jun 3, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.00Jun 3, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.