Impolite-Load
0xced2fb16502b6c9ddd7238ad11c3fb82f1721076
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$16.1K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$622.46
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
19880 shares @ 56.6¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.4K
$-2.8K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5702 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.3K
$-114.05
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2000 shares @ 45.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$430.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
3025 shares @ 47.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$952.88
$-474.47
- NO
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
575 shares @ 76.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$474.73
$33.14
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
737 shares @ 27.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$209.97
$10.98
- YES
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
260 shares @ 73.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$203.86
$14.08
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
150 shares @ 49.6¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.50
$-27.91
- NO
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
41 shares @ 75.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.09
$-2.66
- YES
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
28 shares @ 69.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$22.28
$2.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$630.00Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.2KJun 13, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$900.00Jun 13, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$590.00Jun 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJun 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$846.72Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 13?$50.00Jun 7, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?$581.49Jun 7, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00Jun 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.3KJun 5, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?$290.77Jun 5, 02:28 UTC
- REWARD$2.82Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$379.25Jun 2, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.20Jun 2, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.55Jun 2, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.05Jun 2, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$78.00Jun 2, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$17.73Jun 2, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.55Jun 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.02Jun 2, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $174.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.