Euphoric-Spider
0xcf6a714618a328c608a1c70cb62a31a6bef3f9d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$19.5K
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$11.8K
Win rate
59%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14000 shares @ 26.7¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.8K
$34.31
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5371 shares @ 58.4¢·now 57.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.1K
$-72.26
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12218 shares @ 24.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$49.40
- YES
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
6877 shares @ 36.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$2.1K
$-384.80
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
10668 shares @ 14.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-312.96
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
38333 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$413.50
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
139324 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$626.96
$-245.21
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
1605 shares @ 38.2¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$569.79
$-43.40
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4212 shares @ 12.7¢·now 13.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$553.88
$20.73
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5080 shares @ 6.5¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$469.90
$137.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$145.99Jul 29, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49.27Jul 29, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.06Jul 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.58Jul 29, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.58Jul 29, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44.23Jul 29, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.58Jul 29, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.92Jul 29, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.19Jul 29, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?$15.69Jul 29, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.85Jul 29, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.58Jul 29, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.45Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13.20Jul 29, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.15Jul 29, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$57.73Jul 29, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.58Jul 29, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.92Jul 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.72Jul 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13.20Jul 29, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
76/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
51 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $24.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.