Gregarious-Winery
0xcf7f152a0b09d2d62f47730d7517074f7ba4f745
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$3.54
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
1409 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.4K
$253.62
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
482 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$482.00
$168.70
- NO
Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?
467 shares @ 70.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$467.00
$135.90
- NO
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.06
$0.38
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
12 shares @ 29.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.34
$-1.14
- YES
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1035 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-600.29
- PARIS BASKETBALL
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
789 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-386.61
- YES
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
762 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-472.44
- FENERBAHCE
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
621 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-302.43
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 7AM ET
360 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-183.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?$331.10Apr 23, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$331.01Apr 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$347.77Apr 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$1.2KApr 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$65.57Apr 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$114.54Apr 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$8.16Apr 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$14.98Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$113.68Apr 11, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$694.20Apr 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$150.75Apr 11, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$341.25Apr 11, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$23.70Apr 11, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$115.71Apr 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$738.70Apr 11, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$63.92Apr 9, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$142.88Apr 9, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$124.83Apr 9, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$43.32Apr 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$124.66Apr 9, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $214.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 06:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.