0xcf874e84824009318f4a93701adee3e801b090f6
0xcf874e84824009318f4a93701adee3e801b090f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$22.01
Total PnL
$-235.49
Realised
$-1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13 shares @ 83.2¢·now 86.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.24
$0.44
- YES
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$10.76
$0.76
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
3880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
1013 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?
619 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
202 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.75
- T1
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
134 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 18?
98 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- TEAM FALCONS
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
52 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-17.15
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$10.06Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.05Jun 10, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.85Jun 10, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$27.15Jun 1, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.78Jun 1, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$4.78May 29, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$5.00May 29, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$47.37May 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$11.18May 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.04May 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.04May 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.12May 15, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.12May 15, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.12May 15, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.13May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.13May 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$26.38May 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$36.77May 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.72May 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$5.11May 14, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.