Wry-Espalier
0xcfbf1557ad46f7490f3ed6aa025c46fac8de068e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.83
Total PnL
$-5.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$7.69
$4.69
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.06
$-0.94
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 91.6¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-2.02
- YES
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
8 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$3.05May 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYArc FDV above $4B one day after launch?$3.09May 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.05May 13, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 6?$2.01Apr 29, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Cuba" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$2.04Apr 29, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs$2.30Apr 29, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$2.42Apr 29, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs$2.00Mar 6, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 6?$2.00Mar 6, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Cuba" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$2.00Mar 6, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$3.57Mar 6, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by February 28, 2026?$4.17Mar 6, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?$7.11Mar 6, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?$7.63Feb 23, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?$7.00Feb 23, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by February 28, 2026?$4.00Feb 23, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.00Feb 23, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Golden - HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna, REI AMI" win Best Song Written For Visual Media at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$2.76Feb 23, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$2.93Feb 23, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$2.20Jan 30, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".