Trifling-File
0xcfcbbe90b64f4b74ffc79990009aafbb9d38cc42
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$20.23
Total PnL
$-23.59
Realised
$-6.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 10.9¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.59
$0.14
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
12 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.24
$-0.06
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.95
$0.05
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
997 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.49
$-0.50
- YES
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Oliver Glasner be the next manager of AC Milan?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of AC Milan?
2 shares @ 79.7¢·now 57.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.92
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?
7 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.91
$-0.91
- YES
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$15.95Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$15.02Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.90Jun 14, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.40Jun 14, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.00Jun 14, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$21.30Jun 14, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$11.22Jun 14, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$11.12Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.02Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$11.01Jun 14, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.48Jun 14, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$10.87Jun 14, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$11.12Jun 14, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.05Jun 14, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.06Jun 14, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Jun 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.05Jun 14, 02:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.