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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Oct 31, 2026

Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$75.00

Liquidity

$15.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4524h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $15.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4523.6h

    LOW
  • 12:22Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4524h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Oct 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

12 wallets
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