Excitable-Citizen
0xd026eab125470770567954740c1578e50b2f1245
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$382.26
Total PnL
$-36.72
Realised
$9.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$81.49
$6.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$65.99
$18.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.50
$2.50
- OVER
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$52.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
50 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.92
$0.57
- YES
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
50 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.97
$0.72
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?
300 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.20
$-3.90
- YES
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 PGA Championship?
50 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.88
$-0.78
- YES
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship?
50 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.78
$-0.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.40May 14, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.12May 14, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.59May 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.88May 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$7.97May 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5$52.75May 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$26.13May 14, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.31May 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$8.71May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?$5.25May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.70May 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.49May 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.13May 14, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17?$9.94Apr 18, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Assassin" or "Assassinate" during TPUSA events on April 17?$19.52Apr 18, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pope" during TPUSA events on April 17?$3.48Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pope" during TPUSA events on April 17?$0.75Apr 17, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Secret Service" during TPUSA events on April 17?$8.10Apr 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Christian" during TPUSA events on April 17?$6.80Apr 17, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".