Closed-Application
0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$51.9K
Total PnL
$-697.62
Realised
$6.9K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
16000 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.7K
$184.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
13522 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.2K
$541.43
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
30975 shares @ 25.9¢·now 26.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.1K
$120.71
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.9K
$621.00
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
2612 shares @ 61.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$915.26
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3553 shares @ 57.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$-255.75
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
12421 shares @ 23.2¢·now 11.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
871 shares @ 66.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$862.71
$285.54
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
2291 shares @ 46.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$778.80
$-274.12
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
1028 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$601.56
$15.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$155.85Jun 14, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.61Jun 14, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.63Jun 14, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$187.59Jun 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.96Jun 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.61Jun 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.3KJun 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$267.04Jun 14, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$297.00Jun 14, 05:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$8.99Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$178.20Jun 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$23.63Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$606.40Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.2KJun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$286.38Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$258.74Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.5KJun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$123.89Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $183.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.