Muted-Handlebar
0xd0847848bebf06d32e2e89c9c3e3f727a35f27ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$242.68
Realised
$155.82
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
707 shares @ 34.7¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.12
$26.65
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
340 shares @ 68.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$256.70
$25.50
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
628 shares @ 30.7¢·now 36.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$225.93
$33.37
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
288 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$139.90
$-4.33
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
259 shares @ 39.5¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.55
$14.18
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
98 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$90.51
$1.47
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
350 shares @ 21.2¢·now 25.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$87.60
$13.33
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
56 shares @ 56.6¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.40
$-2.29
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
72 shares @ 41.6¢·now 39.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.08
$-1.83
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
127 shares @ 11.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$27.29
$13.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$48.08May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$96.15May 18, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$92.57May 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?$4.99May 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?$4.99May 17, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?$0.00May 17, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$16.21May 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$89.03May 17, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$148.98May 17, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$246.15May 16, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$66.06May 16, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$2.48May 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$34.61May 16, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$80.28May 16, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$165.14May 16, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.20May 16, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$253.64May 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$37.18May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$13.27May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$7.11May 15, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $55.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".