Even-Bidder
0xd1303580e52101d3c8f23a1a4718b1e37d149b13
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$42.09
Total PnL
$-1.57
Realised
$0.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 7.8¢·now 33.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.84
$2.17
- NO
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.62
$1.62
- YES
Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 11.7¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$2.54
$1.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$2.06
$1.06
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
4 shares @ 46.6¢·now 38.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.66
$-0.34
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 14.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.63
$0.63
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 22.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.59
$-0.41
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.58
$0.58
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.21
$0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 56 million or more views on day 4?$1.05Jun 2, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "T1" or "Trump mobile" or "Trump phone" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03Jun 2, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$1.05Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 13?$1.05Jun 2, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$1.05Jun 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$2.01Jun 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$1.04Jun 2, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Jun 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?$1.00Jun 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$1.00Jun 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.00Jun 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".