Elaborate-Shower
0xd1e49de0e0efd1ff52bbbf9a1d3439f6e9cd25d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$205.74
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$41.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
379 shares @ 52.8¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$106.00
$-94.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
85 shares @ 85.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$57.17
$-14.82
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
88 shares @ 76.5¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$42.57
$-24.57
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1872 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-708.50
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
1293 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-591.21
- NO
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?
313 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-94.01
- NO
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?
140 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-98.00
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$0.00Apr 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$80.00Apr 25, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.26Apr 25, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$19.55Apr 25, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?$99.00Apr 25, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1.65Apr 20, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$57.60Apr 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$1.93Apr 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$59.40Apr 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$2.80Apr 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$3.00Apr 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$18.41Apr 15, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$16.36Apr 15, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$16.36Apr 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$24.55Apr 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$6.75Apr 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$32.73Apr 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$16.36Apr 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$5.42Apr 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$7.04Apr 15, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $67.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.