Stunning-Effective
0xd1fd5d0cbe95f972cb78925a72cde07bb8bb03d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$31.92
Total PnL
$-16.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
6 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$5.68
$0.06
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.83
$0.25
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.76
$0.66
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.37
$0.07
- NO
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.29
$0.09
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.84
$0.04
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 87.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-8.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$4.26May 31, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$2.66May 29, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$0.37May 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$9.44May 19, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$6.00May 19, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$9.49May 19, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$9.31May 19, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$14.70May 19, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$4.11May 19, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.00May 19, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$5.87May 19, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$249.75May 19, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$16.98May 19, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $39.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 04:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.