Classic-Pen
0xd21515da28b7c0ec0d4e39454ea223c7c14d5395
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$724.40
Total PnL
$41.27
Realised
$33.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
195 shares @ 91.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$176.47
$-1.12
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
151 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$141.19
$0.55
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
165 shares @ 82.2¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$140.29
$4.69
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
93 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$86.26
$1.06
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?
48 shares @ 81.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.21
$4.66
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.44
$0.44
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$32.60
$2.20
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
37 shares @ 63.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.66
$0.48
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
24 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.60
$0.72
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.68
$2.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$19.00May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$35.60May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$14.17May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$47.00May 16, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$180.00May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$179.10May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$82.40May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$93.00May 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$166.34May 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$30.40May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$60.93May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$18.60May 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$17.53May 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$15.31May 14, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$16.76May 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$9.34May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$9.18May 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$29.14May 14, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$18.20May 12, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$15.23May 12, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $41.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 06:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".