Unequaled-Combat
0xd2cbd09922bd25b4cec888c483e2b05cdc8443ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$187.78
Total PnL
$9.5K
Realised
$11.5K
Win rate
12%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1122 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
1252 shares @ 6.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$42.57
$-40.73
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
328 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.41
$1.64
- YES
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
358 shares @ 11.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.27
$-19.23
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
225 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.63
$-3.38
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
836 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.27
$-24.96
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
28000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$31.51Aug 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$0.00Aug 10, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$33.32Aug 10, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?$65.10Aug 10, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$2.60Aug 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$4.40Aug 10, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$11.00Aug 10, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?$56.99Aug 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$0.63Aug 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$20.93Aug 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$96.16Aug 10, 12:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $25.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.