Unequaled-Combat
0xd2cbd09922bd25b4cec888c483e2b05cdc8443ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$69.31
Total PnL
$-900.24
Realised
$-6.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
358 shares @ 11.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.75
$2.25
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.38
$-0.63
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
419 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.32
$-2.67
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
747 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.23
$-39.77
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
586 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.64
$-16.36
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
28000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
27016 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- YES
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
10455 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-341.63
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
3744 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
2907 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$5.20Jun 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?$5.19Jun 28, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$5.20Jun 28, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$1.04Jun 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$16.80Jun 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$5.20Jun 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.81Jun 28, 11:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$19.00Jun 27, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$200.00Jun 27, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$26.00Jun 27, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$25.67Jun 27, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1.00Jun 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$28.00Jun 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$28.68Jun 27, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$26.00Jun 27, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$26.69Jun 27, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.